Nice vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
4 - 1
NIC
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
NIC
0 - 2
VAL
75%
16%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
ASN
1 - 1
NIC
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
STL
2 - 0
NIC
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1978 |
LYO
4 - 0
FCR
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
FCR
0 - 3
STR
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
MAR
4 - 1
FCR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
FCR
1 - 1
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
ASN
1 - 0
FCR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |