Nice vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
GIR
1 - 1
NIC
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
TFC
3 - 0
NIC
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
NIC
3 - 1
ANG
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
LIL
3 - 0
NIC
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1967 |
NIC
1 - 0
REI
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
FCR
0 - 2
TFC
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
ANG
5 - 2
FCR
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
FCR
0 - 1
ASS
27%
26%
48%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
REI
1 - 0
FCR
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1967 |
FCR
3 - 0
LIL
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |