Nice vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
NÎM
3 - 0
NIC
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
RAC
3 - 1
NIC
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
NIC
4 - 1
REI
29%
22%
49%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
STR
2 - 0
NIC
37%
23%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
NIC
2 - 0
LEN
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
FCR
2 - 2
SOC
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
FCR
0 - 2
ASN
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
STR
1 - 0
FCR
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
NÎM
3 - 2
FCR
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
FCR
3 - 1
ASS
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |