Nice vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
MAR
4 - 1
NIC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1975 |
NIC
0 - 0
GIR
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
NÎM
2 - 1
NIC
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 3
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
TRO
3 - 1
NIC
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
RED
1 - 1
MET
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1975 |
REN
0 - 2
RED
62%
24%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
RED
2 - 1
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
SOC
0 - 0
RED
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
RED
0 - 1
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |