Nice vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
GIR
4 - 0
NIC
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
NIC
5 - 1
NAN
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
ASS
3 - 1
NIC
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
NIC
0 - 0
LEN
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
STR
0 - 0
NIC
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
RED
1 - 0
VAL
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
AJA
0 - 0
RED
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
GIR
1 - 0
RED
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1968 |
RED
0 - 1
NAN
34%
25%
42%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
LEN
2 - 4
RED
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |