Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-6
Nice vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
NIC
0 - 2
REN
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
RAC
3 - 2
NIC
57%
19%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
NIC
1 - 0
SED
73%
15%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1957 |
RMA
3 - 0
NIC
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
ASN
4 - 2
NIC
39%
23%
39%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
RMA
1 - 0
FCB
65%
18%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
ATH
4 - 2
RMA
58%
20%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
RMA
1 - 0
DEP
87%
8%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1957 |
RMA
3 - 0
NIC
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
RJA
2 - 4
RMA
24%
23%
54%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |