Nice vs Paris FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1979 |
MET
2 - 0
NIC
60%
21%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
NÎM
4 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
NIC
2 - 0
REI
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1979 |
STR
1 - 0
NIC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1979 |
PFC
0 - 1
ASS
33%
29%
39%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
PFC
2 - 1
REI
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
MET
5 - 1
PFC
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
PFC
1 - 1
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1979 |
NÎM
2 - 0
PFC
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |