Nice vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
REN
2 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
SOC
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
DRA
0 - 1
NIC
10%
20%
71%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
GIR
2 - 0
NIC
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
LYO
20%
25%
56%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 2
PSG
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 0
LEN
67%
20%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
REN
1 - 0
PSG
41%
26%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 4
PSG
11%
23%
66%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 2
PSG
19%
26%
56%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |