Nice vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
13º
4º
43
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 26 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Champions League
|
14% | 89.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
23% | 5.5% |
|
Europa League
|
23.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
ELF
1 - 0
NIC
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
2 - 1
NIC
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
0 - 1
NIC
19%
24%
57%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REI
2 - 4
NIC
33%
27%
40%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
NIC
3 - 2
REN
37%
26%
38%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
STR
67%
19%
13%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
49%
25%
26%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REN
1 - 2
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
5 - 1
LHA
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 4
MAR
15%
21%
63%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |