Nice vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1985 |
STL
2 - 1
NIC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1985 |
NIC
0 - 0
LIL
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
TFC
0 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
NIC
1 - 0
BAS
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
NIC
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1985 |
MAR
2 - 1
AUX
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1985 |
MAR
4 - 0
STL
56%
24%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
GIR
2 - 1
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
MAR
1 - 0
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
TFC
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |