Nice vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1977 |
TRO
2 - 2
NIC
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1977 |
NIC
2 - 4
MET
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
NAN
6 - 1
NIC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1977 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASS
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIC
41%
27%
31%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 1
REI
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1977 |
ANG
1 - 2
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 0
NÎM
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1977 |
ASN
2 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
MAR
3 - 1
LYO
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |