Nice vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
SÈT
1 - 1
NIC
31%
24%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1954 |
ASS
2 - 1
NIC
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ASN
1 - 5
NIC
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
NIC
1 - 1
NÎM
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
SFP
1 - 1
NIC
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
MAR
2 - 0
LEN
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1954 |
STR
2 - 1
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
LIL
4 - 0
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
MAR
3 - 2
GIR
40%
23%
37%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
REI
6 - 0
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |