Nice vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASN
3 - 0
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
NIC
3 - 2
ARL
68%
22%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 0
NIC
42%
28%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 1
LYO
51%
23%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 1
LYO
36%
26%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
LYO
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LYO
0 - 0
CAE
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
LYO
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |