Nice vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1968 |
STR
1 - 0
NIC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
NIC
1 - 1
REN
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
NIC
2 - 2
FCR
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
MAR
3 - 1
NIC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
NIC
0 - 3
AJA
68%
17%
16%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
NÎM
0 - 0
FCR
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
MAR
4 - 0
NÎM
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
NÎM
2 - 2
VAL
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
NÎM
79%
14%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
NÎM
3 - 1
SOC
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |