Nice vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
TFC
3 - 1
NIC
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1961 |
NIC
3 - 1
ASN
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
NIC
4 - 0
LHA
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1961 |
REI
3 - 0
NIC
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1961 |
NIC
1 - 4
ASN
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
NÎM
3 - 2
LHA
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
ASS
5 - 0
NÎM
50%
22%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1961 |
FCR
1 - 2
NÎM
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1961 |
NÎM
0 - 2
ASS
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
NÎM
3 - 4
ASN
68%
18%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |