Qualif. Champions Play-off Final
Global 0-4
Nice vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 0
GUI
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
NAP
2 - 0
NIC
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 2
TRO
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
NIC
26%
26%
49%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIC
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
VER
1 - 3
NAP
10%
17%
74%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
NAP
2 - 0
NIC
78%
14%
8%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
NAP
2 - 0
ESP
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BOU
2 - 2
NAP
16%
20%
64%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
NAP
2 - 0
BYM
33%
23%
44%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |