Nice vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 2
SOC
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
TRO
1 - 0
NIC
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 0
GUI
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
59%
23%
17%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
NAN
1 - 0
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
NAN
0 - 1
SOC
57%
23%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AUX
0 - 1
NAN
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
NAN
1 - 0
REN
58%
23%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
LYO
0 - 0
NAN
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |