Nice vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIC
64%
20%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
NIC
2 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
STL
1 - 0
NIC
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 0
LEN
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1976 |
NÎM
3 - 2
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
NAN
2 - 0
GIR
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
NÎM
0 - 0
NAN
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1976 |
NAN
1 - 1
REI
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
LYO
2 - 0
NAN
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
NAN
3 - 3
PSG
61%
21%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |