Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
LHA
3 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
NIC
0 - 2
PSG
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
SOC
0 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1986 |
NIC
0 - 0
GIR
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1986 |
NAN
1 - 0
NIC
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
ASN
3 - 0
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1986 |
LIL
4 - 3
ASN
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
ASN
2 - 1
RAC
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1986 |
NAN
1 - 0
ASN
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1986 |
ASN
0 - 4
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |