Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
NÎM
2 - 1
NIC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 0
GIR
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 2
LIL
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1975 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 1
PSG
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
ASN
2 - 4
PSG
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1975 |
LIL
1 - 2
ASN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
ASN
3 - 0
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1975 |
REI
1 - 1
ASN
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
ASN
0 - 0
MET
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |