Nice vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
NIC
3 - 1
LEN
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
RAC
3 - 4
NIC
76%
14%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
NIC
2 - 1
SED
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
STR
7 - 0
NIC
43%
24%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
GRE
3 - 1
NIC
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
ASN
1 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
SFP
2 - 0
ASN
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
VAL
2 - 0
ASN
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
FCR
2 - 1
ASN
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
REN
1 - 1
ASN
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |