Nice vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 0
REN
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
NIC
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 3
DIJ
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
NIC
9%
20%
71%
|
80 | 34 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
LIL
4 - 4
NIC
75%
16%
8%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 1
MPL
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MPL
1 - 0
LYO
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MEZ
0 - 4
MPL
7%
15%
78%
|
83 | 13 | 70 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ETG
4 - 2
MPL
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 1
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |