Nice vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
56.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
6º
37
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League
|
11% | 55.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
17.5% | 21% |
|
Europa League
|
22% | 12% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
16.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 0
NIC
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
NIC
24%
25%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 1
PSG
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
LAZ
4 - 1
NIC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
MON
5 - 1
CRV
71%
18%
12%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
LIL
52%
25%
23%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
REN
1 - 2
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 2
MON
21%
21%
58%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
MPL
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |