Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 2
NIC
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NIC
0 - 5
LYO
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
NIC
3 - 1
ZUL
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 1
NIC
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 0
DIJ
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
MET
0 - 3
MAR
19%
24%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MET
0 - 2
AMI
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 0
MET
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MET
0 - 3
LIL
28%
29%
43%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LYO
2 - 0
MET
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |