Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
STR
0 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
GIR
4 - 0
NIC
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
LUS
1 - 0
NIC
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
NIC
3 - 0
AJA
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
SED
3 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
MET
1 - 0
AMI
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
FCM
0 - 1
MET
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
GRE
0 - 0
MET
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
MET
4 - 0
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
STL
1 - 1
MET
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |