Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1997 |
NIC
1 - 1
GUI
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
LHA
1 - 0
NIC
51%
27%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
NIC
0 - 1
LYO
27%
27%
47%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
PSG
5 - 0
NIC
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
STL
0 - 1
NIC
43%
26%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
REN
1 - 3
MET
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
MET
1 - 0
AUX
41%
28%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
MET
2 - 0
GUI
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
LHA
0 - 0
MET
34%
30%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |