Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1987 |
AUX
2 - 1
NIC
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
NIC
0 - 4
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
MON
1 - 0
NIC
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
NIC
2 - 1
STL
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1987 |
LEN
4 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1987 |
MET
0 - 2
RAC
76%
16%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
MET
2 - 0
TFC
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
ASS
0 - 0
MET
34%
31%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
MET
3 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1987 |
AUX
0 - 0
MET
51%
26%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |