Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
STR
2 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1986 |
NIC
2 - 1
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
REN
2 - 0
NIC
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
NIC
0 - 0
NAN
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
SOC
2 - 0
NIC
68%
19%
12%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
MET
2 - 0
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 0
MET
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1986 |
GIR
3 - 1
MET
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
MET
2 - 1
STL
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
LIL
1 - 0
MET
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |