Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
LIL
4 - 3
NIC
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
NIC
2 - 1
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1979 |
GIR
3 - 1
NIC
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1979 |
NIC
3 - 1
LYO
62%
20%
17%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1979 |
NIC
0 - 0
ANG
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1979 |
MET
0 - 1
ANG
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
VAL
2 - 2
MET
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1979 |
MET
0 - 0
NÎM
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 1
MET
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1979 |
MET
2 - 1
ASN
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |