Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1977 |
SOC
1 - 2
NIC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1977 |
NIC
1 - 0
NAN
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
NIC
1 - 0
SOC
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
BAS
2 - 0
NIC
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
NIC
2 - 2
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1977 |
MET
2 - 2
NAN
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1977 |
FCR
5 - 2
MET
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
NAN
3 - 2
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1977 |
MET
5 - 3
STL
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
LEN
4 - 1
MET
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |