Nice vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
MAR
0 - 2
NIC
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1967 |
NIC
1 - 0
SED
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
SOC
0 - 2
NIC
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1967 |
NIC
0 - 0
SFP
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1967 |
VAL
0 - 1
NIC
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
MET
1 - 1
FCR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 2
MET
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
MET
1 - 1
RED
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1962 |
MET
0 - 0
LHA
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1962 |
FCR
3 - 2
MET
59%
20%
20%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |