Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 0
NIC
36%
27%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 1
REN
34%
26%
41%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MPL
0 - 0
NIC
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 0
PSG
13%
18%
70%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
LOR
6 - 2
ASS
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PSG
5 - 1
LOR
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
STR
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CLE
0 - 2
LOR
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 4
LYO
11%
18%
71%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |