Nice vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2000 |
VAL
2 - 0
NIC
41%
29%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
NIC
2 - 0
CAN
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
NIC
1 - 1
LMU
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
NIO
1 - 2
NIC
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 1
NÎM
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
STL
1 - 1
LOR
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 2
GUI
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
AMI
0 - 0
LOR
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 0
LIL
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |