Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
52.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 4
FUL
32%
30%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 1
NIC
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
FCK
1 - 0
LIL
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASN
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 2
LIL
26%
27%
47%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
REN
0 - 1
LIL
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
LIL
3 - 1
ATH
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |