Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
30%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 0
NAN
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LEN
1 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 2
AJA
53%
27%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
LMU
1 - 1
NIC
38%
28%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 0
SOC
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
SOC
2 - 1
LIL
55%
25%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
TFC
0 - 3
LIL
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |