Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
27.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
FCM
0 - 0
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1998 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASS
49%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
ASB
1 - 0
NIC
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
NIC
2 - 0
CSL
52%
26%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
NÎM
0 - 0
NIC
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
LIL
0 - 1
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1998 |
NIO
2 - 0
LIL
40%
29%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
LIL
3 - 0
STL
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
CAE
0 - 2
LIL
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
LIL
1 - 1
ESW
72%
18%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |