Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
NAN
2 - 2
NIC
56%
26%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
LYO
2 - 0
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1989 |
NIC
2 - 0
FCM
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
LIL
1 - 1
FCM
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
PSG
2 - 1
LIL
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
LIL
0 - 1
GIR
38%
30%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
CAN
3 - 0
LIL
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1989 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
37%
30%
33%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |