Nice vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1987 |
RAC
3 - 1
NIC
53%
26%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1987 |
NIC
2 - 1
MAR
43%
28%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
ASS
1 - 0
NIC
46%
30%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
NIC
3 - 1
MET
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1987 |
AUX
2 - 1
NIC
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1987 |
LIL
1 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1987 |
LIL
3 - 0
MET
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
RAC
1 - 0
LIL
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
LIL
2 - 1
BRE
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1987 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIL
44%
30%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |