Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 2
NIC
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
46%
28%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
REN
41%
29%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 1
NIC
50%
27%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 0
STR
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
LEN
5 - 1
YOB
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
STR
2 - 1
LEN
37%
28%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
LEN
0 - 0
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2007 |
YOB
1 - 1
LEN
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
LEN
0 - 0
PSG
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |