Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
NIC
1 - 0
AUX
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1987 |
MET
2 - 0
NIC
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
STL
1 - 2
NIC
56%
24%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
NIC
3 - 1
NAN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
LEN
1 - 2
NAN
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEN
41%
30%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
LEN
2 - 1
RAC
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
BRE
4 - 1
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
57%
24%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |