Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1973 |
REN
1 - 0
NIC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
SOC
5 - 1
NIC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1973 |
NIC
4 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
MAR
1 - 1
NIC
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
NIC
2 - 0
REN
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1973 |
LEN
0 - 1
NÎM
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1968 |
LEN
1 - 3
ASS
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1968 |
LEN
1 - 1
REN
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1968 |
LEN
2 - 1
GIR
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |