Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
NAN
2 - 1
NIC
79%
12%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1965 |
NIC
2 - 1
TFC
40%
25%
34%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1965 |
SFP
2 - 1
NIC
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
NIC
1 - 2
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
LYO
2 - 0
NIC
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
LEN
0 - 1
GIR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1965 |
LEN
0 - 0
FCR
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1965 |
LEN
2 - 2
ANG
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1965 |
NAN
4 - 2
LEN
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |