Nice vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
SFP
2 - 2
NIC
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
NÎM
0 - 0
NIC
62%
20%
19%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
NIC
3 - 1
ANG
50%
24%
25%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
LYO
0 - 0
NIC
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
NIC
0 - 2
MON
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
LEN
0 - 2
FCR
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
LEN
8 - 1
GIR
58%
21%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
SFP
1 - 0
LEN
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
LEN
2 - 1
REI
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
NÎM
1 - 1
LEN
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |