Europa League 1/16
Global 4-2
Nice vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
NIC
4 - 0
ANG
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
FCB
2 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1973 |
PFC
3 - 2
NIC
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
NIC
3 - 0
REI
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FEN
2 - 1
ALT
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
ARG
1 - 1
FEN
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
GAL
0 - 0
FEN
55%
27%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BOL
1 - 1
FEN
34%
32%
34%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
FEN
5 - 1
ARG
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |