Nice vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 0
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
NIC
1 - 3
STL
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 0
NIC
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 1
NIC
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 1
FCG
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
FCG
0 - 0
GUI
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
SED
2 - 1
FCG
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
FCG
2 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 2
FCG
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |