Nice vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 0
REN
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
NIC
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 1
PSG
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
MPL
3 - 2
NIC
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SOC
0 - 1
NIC
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ETG
2 - 0
TRO
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PSG
4 - 0
ETG
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ETG
1 - 1
ASN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
REN
0 - 1
ETG
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ETG
2 - 2
ASS
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |