Nice vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
FCM
1 - 0
NIC
44%
29%
27%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
NIC
0 - 0
VAL
75%
18%
7%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
NIO
0 - 0
NIC
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
NIC
1 - 1
REN
58%
26%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
FCR
1 - 1
NIC
39%
31%
31%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
DUN
4 - 1
OLY
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1993 |
IST
2 - 0
DUN
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
DUN
1 - 1
BOU
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
ASN
1 - 1
DUN
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
DUN
1 - 0
STL
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |