Nice vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
REN
0 - 0
NIC
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 0
MPL
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DIJ
0 - 1
NIC
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 1
ANG
22%
28%
51%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NÎM
2 - 0
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
CAE
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 5
ASS
17%
27%
57%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
REN
3 - 1
CAE
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |