Nice vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 0
NIC
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2002 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
NIO
3 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
NIC
0 - 1
ASB
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NÎM
0 - 3
NIC
46%
26%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 2
STL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
AMI
3 - 2
CAE
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
CAE
2 - 2
FCG
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
FCM
2 - 1
CAE
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 1
AJA
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |