Nice vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
GIR
2 - 0
NIC
67%
20%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 0
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
CAN
2 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
CAE
2 - 3
ASS
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
SOC
1 - 0
CAE
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
CAE
3 - 0
TFC
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
LIL
1 - 1
CAE
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
CAE
1 - 0
AUX
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |